Summary
- 27 stocks are within one day's normal move of a moving-average cross at the next close: 17 bullish and 10 bearish (Exhibit 2).
- 7 of the 27 carry Odds Next Close of 90% or more. The odds describe the cross, not the price; next-day Confidence for these setups sits near a coin flip.
- 15 report earnings within five trading days (CNP, SHW, AMT, HIG, NI, GEV, EXE, UHS, DASH, EME, COIN, D, GD, AMZN, LYB), which can move the price more than the cross itself.
Watch List: May Cross at the Next Close
Most Likely to Cross
Highest Odds Next Close; the cross is close to certain.
- COIN▲ Bullish100%
- UHS▲ Bullish100%
- JBHT▼ Bearish99%
Closest Calls
Odds near even; the next close decides it.
- AMZN▼ Bearish56%+1.1% to cross
- EME▼ Bearish41%-0.5% to cross
- AMT▲ Bullish65%-0.8% to cross
Earnings Ahead
Report within five trading days.
- CNP▲ Bullishin 1d
- SHW▲ Bullishin 1d
- AMT▲ Bullishin 1d
- HIG▲ Bullishin 1d
- NI▲ Bullishin 2d
Source: CrossoverSignal watch list.
Tap a column heading to sort; tap again to reverse.
| Stock | Direction | Close | Cross If | Odds Next Close | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UHSEarnings 2d | ▲ Bullish | 185.71 | ≥ 174.41-6.1% | 100% | 51.4% |
| COINEarnings 4d | ▲ Bullish | 159.60 | ≥ 140.17-12.2% | 100% | 51.4% |
| CNPEarnings 1d | ▲ Bullish | 41.20 | ≥ 39.65-3.8% | 99% | 51.5% |
| JBHTearnings in 60d | ▼ Bearish | 224.48 | ≤ 258.37+15.1% | 99% | 46.1% |
| DEarnings 4d | ▼ Bearish | 65.10 | ≤ 67.34+3.4% | 99% | 46.1% |
| ATOearnings in 8d | ▲ Bullish | 171.29 | ≥ 167.44-2.2% | 99% | 51.5% |
| GDEarnings 4d | ▼ Bearish | 357.04 | ≤ 367.99+3.1% | 99% | 46.1% |
| ITearnings in 6d | ▲ Bullish | 231.03 | ≥ 221.76-4.0% | 86% | 50.9% |
| PAYXearnings in 39d | ▲ Bullish | 115.70 | ≥ 113.83-1.6% | 83% | 51.5% |
| SHWEarnings 1d | ▲ Bullish | 335.16 | ≥ 330.91-1.3% | 83% | 51.5% |
| NIEarnings 2d | ▲ Bullish | 43.44 | ≥ 42.98-1.1% | 83% | 51.5% |
| ABTearnings in 68d | ▲ Bullish | 104.88 | ≥ 103.67-1.2% | 83% | 51.5% |
| AEEearnings in 9d | ▲ Bullish | 108.08 | ≥ 107.55-0.5% | 83% | 51.5% |
| AMTEarnings 1d | ▲ Bullish | 188.28 | ≥ 186.79-0.8% | 65% | 51.4% |
| AMZNEarnings 4d | ▼ Bearish | 249.09 | ≤ 251.87+1.1% | 56% | 46.4% |
| EMEEarnings 3d | ▼ Bearish | 665.93 | ≤ 662.51-0.5% | 41% | 48.0% |
| EXPEearnings in 8d | ▼ Bearish | 283.97 | ≤ 280.15-1.3% | 32% | 46.4% |
| TSNearnings in 15d | ▲ Bullish | 56.40 | ≥ 56.76+0.6% | 31% | 51.5% |
| EXEEarnings 2d | ▲ Bullish | 94.02 | ≥ 94.47+0.5% | 31% | 51.5% |
| DASHEarnings 3d | ▼ Bearish | 168.44 | ≤ 167.27-0.7% | 28% | 48.0% |
| LYBEarnings 4d | ▼ Bearish | 67.35 | ≤ 66.96-0.6% | 27% | 46.1% |
| NOCearnings in 66d | ▲ Bullish | 565.41 | ≥ 574.28+1.6% | 19% | 51.5% |
| TDYearnings in 62d | ▲ Bullish | 645.47 | ≥ 652.15+1.0% | 19% | 51.5% |
| HIGEarnings 1d | ▲ Bullish | 135.94 | ≥ 137.34+1.0% | 19% | 51.5% |
| EFXearnings in 72d | ▲ Bullish | 178.56 | ≥ 182.24+2.1% | 19% | 51.5% |
| KEYSearnings in 19d | ▼ Bearish | 326.04 | ≤ 319.91-1.9% | 18% | 46.4% |
| GEVEarnings 2d | ▼ Bearish | 855.12 | ≤ 838.88-1.9% | 17% | 46.1% |
Odds Next Close: the chance the moving averages cross at the next close. It describes the moving averages, not the price: 99% means the cross is nearly certain, not that the price will rise or fall.
Confidence: how often past setups like this one closed the next day in the direction of the cross, across about 1,000 US stocks over 12 years. Around 50% is a coin flip.
Cross If: the next closing price at which the cross happens, and its distance from the last close. Earnings marks a report within five trading days.
Source: CrossoverSignal; daily prices as of the close of Monday, October 26.
Track Record
| Holding Period | Signals | Win Rate | Reached +1% | Total Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overnight | Not scored yet | |||
| Day Trade | Not scored yet | |||
| 1-Day Hold | Not scored yet | |||
| 3-Day Hold | Not scored yet | |||
Hypothetical $1,000 per signal, long for bullish and short for bearish, before costs and slippage.
Source: CrossoverSignal forward log.
Tap a day to open it.
Monday, October 2653 signals Scored after the next close
| Market Check That Day | Next Morning | Overnight | Day Trade | 1-Day | 3-Day |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mixed* | Mixed* | - | - | - | - |
| Stock | Dir. | Overnight | Day Trade | 1-Day | 3-Day |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| EXPE | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| KEYS | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| CNP | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| ATO | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| NI | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| ABT | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| SHW | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| PAYX | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| AEE | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| EXE | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| TSN | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| EFX | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| HIG | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| TDY | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| NOC | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| EME | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| DASH | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| IT | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| JBHT | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| D | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| GD | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| LYB | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| GEV | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| UHS | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| COIN | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| AMT | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| ALL | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| AOS | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| COIN | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| DUK | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| EW | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| FRT | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| FTV | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| GE | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| GOOG | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| GPC | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| ITW | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| JNJ | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| KLAC | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| L | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| LDOS | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| MCO | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| MELI | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| MSCI | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| NEM | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| NSC | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| PPL | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| T | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| TT | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| ULTA | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
| VZ | ▼ | - | - | - | - |
| XEL | ▲ | - | - | - | - |
Source: CrossoverSignal forward log.
Definitions
- Direction
- Bullish when the faster moving average is about to cross above the slower one; bearish when it is about to cross below. Results are measured long for bullish signals and short for bearish signals.
- Cross If
- The next closing price at which the cross happens (at or above for bullish, at or below for bearish), and how far that is from the last close.
- Odds Next Close
- The chance the stock's moving averages cross at the next close. It describes the moving averages, not the price: 99% means the cross is nearly certain, not that the price will rise or fall.
- Confidence
- How often past setups like this one closed the next day in the direction of the cross (higher for bullish, lower for bearish), across about 1,000 US stocks over 12 years. Around 50% is a coin flip.
- Win Rate
- Share of logged signals that closed in the signal's direction over the holding period.
- Reached +1%
- Share of logged signals that gained at least 1% in the signal's direction over the holding period.
- Holding periods
- Overnight: from the signal-day close to the next open. Day Trade: from the next open to the next close. 1-Day and 3-Day Hold: from the signal-day close.
- ✓ / ✗
- A watch-list stock whose predicted cross did / did not happen at the next close.
- Market check
- The morning market reading (Bullish, Bearish, Mixed or Risk-Off) from breadth, uptrend, macro regime and market-top analysis; * marks a reading rebuilt from a replay of that day's data.
Important Disclosures
This report is for research and education only. It is not investment advice, an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Results shown are hypothetical, assume $1,000 per signal and exclude commissions, slippage and taxes. Past results, live or backtested, do not guarantee future results. Data may contain errors or delays.